|
Category |
Question |
Answer |
Scoring |
Score |
|
Class |
Has your horse won or placed in a race of
this class or above in the last 12 months?
(By 'class', I refer to the grade of the
race: 'A', 'B', 'C' etc.) |
Won |
3 |
|
|
Placed |
2 |
|
Neither |
0 |
|
Course |
Has your horse won or placed on this
course or one with similar characteristics in the last 12 months?
(For similar courses please refer to the
appropriate track matrix:
Flat or
NH). |
Won here |
3 |
|
|
Won on similar |
2 |
|
Placed here |
2 |
|
Placed on similar |
1 |
|
Neither |
0 |
|
Distance |
Has your horse won or placed over today's
distance in the last 12 months? |
Won |
3 |
|
|
Placed |
1 |
| Neither |
0 |
|
Recent Form |
Has your horse finished within half a
length per furlong of the winner in either of its last two runs? (e.g.
if its last race was over 8f answer 'yes' if within 4l). |
Yes |
2 |
|
| No |
0 |
|
Speed |
Has your horse registered an adjusted
Topspeed rating for today's race which is no lower than 75% of the
highest rating for the race?
(Topspeed is prepared by Dave Edwards in
the Racing Post). |
Yes |
2 |
|
| No |
0 |
|
Going |
Has your horse won or placed on today's
going in the last 12 months? |
Won |
2 |
|
|
Placed |
1 |
| Neither |
0 |
|
Draw |
Does it look like your horse will be
inconvenienced by the draw in today's race? |
Yes |
0 |
|
|
No |
1 |
|
Fitness |
Has your horse run within the last 50
days? |
Yes |
1 |
|
| No |
0 |
|
First-time aids |
Is your horse wearing blinkers/visor for
the first time? |
Yes |
0 |
|
|
No |
1 |
|
Jockey |
Has today's jockey won or placed on your
horse before? |
Yes |
1 |
|
| No |
0 |
|
Trainer |
Has the trainer had 3 horses placed in the
last 14 days? |
Yes |
1 |
|
| No |
0 |
When you have calculated the score for
your horse, multiply by 5 to get a rating out of 100. A horse rating
100 must have an outstanding chance of winning today.
Without being
over-scientific, if the rating is not over 50, a bet would look
risky. It is also a good idea to rate the other leading contenders
in the race to see how your selection compares.
This is by no means a
definitive method, but it will help highlight the areas of study on
which to concentrate. With a little practice, you will be able to
look at a horse's form and know instinctively if it is a good bet.
Once you are happy it is
then time to calculate the value of your bet to see whether
an investment is wise (see
Getting Value)
SteveJ
cdsystems 2001
|
